Federal Institute for Population Research

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bunte Geburtstagstorte zum 50. Geburtstag mit brennenden Kerzen (refer to: 50 years of Comparative Population Studies – a look back and ahead) | Source: © Lukas Gojda/stock.adobe.com

Interview50 years of Comparative Population Studies – a look back and ahead

Founded by the BiB in 1975: The journal Comparative Population Studies (CPoS) has been shaping population science research ever since. Dr. Katrin Schiefer, the editor in charge, looks at achievements, challenges and potential.

Miscellaneous PublicationsSpatial Variation in Excess Mortality Across Europe: A Cross-sectional Study of 561 Regions in 21 Countries

Bonnet, Florian; Grigoriev, Pavel; Sauerberg, Markus; Alliger, Ina; Mühlichen, Michael; Camarda, Carlo Giovanni: (2023)

medRxiv

DOI: 10.1101/2023.04.04.23284990

Objective To measure the burden of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 at the subnational level by estimating excess mortality, defined as the increase in all-cause mortality relative to an expected baseline mortality level.

Design Statistical and demographic analyses of regional all-cause mortality data.

Participants The entire population of 561 spatial units in 21 European countries.

Main Outcome Measures Losses of life expectancy at ages 0 and 60 for males and females.

Results Evidence was found of a loss in life expectancy in 391 regions, while only three regions exhibit notable gains in life expectancy in 2020. For 12 regions, losses of life expectancy amounted to more than 2 years, and three regions showed losses greater than 3 years. Geographic clusters of high mortality were found in Northern Italia, Spain and Poland, while clusters of low mortality were found in Western France, Germany/Denmark and Norway/Sweden.

Conclusions Regional differences of loss of life expectancy are impressive, ranging from a loss of more than 4 years to a gain of 8 months. These findings provide a strong rationale for regional analysis, as national estimates hide significant regional disparities.